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Politics

Iran War News: Trump Eyes Xi, Putin Talks at APEC

Iran war news took a sharp new turn on Sunday, when President Donald Trump said he expects to sit down with Chinese President Xi Jinping and Russian President Vladimir Putin at a summit in China next week to talk about ending the war in Iran and about denuclearization. The remarks, made to reporters before Trump flew back to Washington from Florida, turn a possibility that has been discussed since October into a dated, concrete plan — a trilateral meeting on the sidelines of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation leaders’ summit in Shenzhen on November 18 and 19.

Trump framed the expected meeting as one of several conversations he plans to hold at the summit, but he put the Iran war at the center of it. “One of the meetings, I think, will be with President Putin and President Xi, and that’ll be interesting,” he said. “We’re talking a lot of things, including denuclearization, but we’ll be talking a lot of things. We’re trying to end the war in Iran.” The phrasing was characteristically hedged — “I think” rather than a firm confirmation — but it was the most specific statement yet from the president about when and where the three leaders might meet.

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What Trump Said Before Boarding His Flight

Trump spoke to reporters on Sunday, November 8, before leaving Florida for Washington, and confirmed that he will travel to China for the APEC summit, which is scheduled for November 18 and 19 in Shenzhen, the southern technology hub. He said he expects one of his meetings there to bring together Putin and Xi, and he described the session as one that would cover a wide range of subjects, with denuclearization and the war in Iran named explicitly.

The comments were notable for their timing as well as their content. They came the same weekend that Trump gave a wide-ranging interview to the CBS program 60 Minutes, recorded on Friday, November 6, in which he also discussed the war in Ukraine, saying he believes the United States is very close to a deal to end that conflict — an agreement, he said, that would result in a “little bit different shape Ukraine,” without offering specifics.

It is also worth noting what Trump did not say. He did not say the trilateral meeting has been formally agreed with Beijing and Moscow, and he did not describe a fixed agenda beyond the two subjects he named. Reporting in the days before his remarks noted that China and Russia had been in contact over arrangements for a possible meeting between the three leaders, but that no such meeting had yet been officially confirmed. The Kremlin said on October 21 that a first-of-its-kind trilateral meeting is “being prepared,” which suggests the idea has been moving through diplomatic channels for weeks. Trump’s Sunday remarks are the first time he has publicly attached a date, a place, and a subject list to it.

From October Openness to a November Date

The idea of a three-way meeting did not appear out of nowhere. Trump said in October that he was open to three-way arms control talks with Xi and Putin, focused on denuclearization, and that openness was widely reported at the time. The Wall Street Journal later reported that Putin has pitched using a trilateral meeting to discuss an end to Russia’s long-running war in Ukraine, adding a second war to the proposed agenda. The shift from October to November is therefore a shift from principle to planning: from a president saying he would be willing to meet, to a president saying he thinks he will meet, at a named summit, in a named city, on named dates.

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That progression matters for how the announcement should be read. It is not a done deal, and it is not a surprise. It is the latest step in a sequence that began with the October openness, continued with the Kremlin’s October 21 statement that a meeting was being prepared, and has now reached the point where the American president is publicly predicting it will happen.

The Iran War at the Center of the Agenda

The most urgent item on the proposed agenda is the war in Iran, which began on February 28, 2026, and has continued without a ceasefire. Talks in Qatar have produced no deal, and the United States has maintained a naval blockade while pressing for negotiations on Tehran’s nuclear program. Trump has not ruled out new strikes, including at the Pickaxe Mountain nuclear site, and the question of whether the war escalates or winds down is the central uncertainty in the region.

The military picture around Iran has been hardening even as the diplomacy continues. Trump said on Sunday that Washington’s land blockade on Iran is now in effect, adding to the naval blockade enforced by Task Force Iron Gate, which the president said is operating at full force. The blockade restricts the movement of goods into and out of Iran. Tehran, for its part, has threatened to rain down hell if the United States resumes attacks, keeping the threat of escalation alive on both sides.

At the same time, Trump has been careful to leave room for a deal. He said on Sunday that he is “not looking to” escalate the war, and that renewed strikes are highly unlikely if there is progress in talks on Tehran’s nuclear program and on the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. He added that there has been “very little activity” at the alleged nuclear site at Pickaxe Mountain, and that the nuclear material there is buried under thousands of tonnes of rock — remarks that seemed designed to lower the temperature and to argue that the military pressure is working without a new round of bombing.

The diplomacy, however, has not yet produced results. Secretary of State Marco Rubio has said there has been no progress on talks to end the war, citing what he called Tehran’s “unacceptable” and in some cases “outrageous” demands. That assessment frames the stakes of the Shenzhen meeting: if the United States cannot reach Tehran directly, a conversation with the leaders of China and Russia — the two countries with the most influence over Iran’s room for maneuver — may be the next best route. Trump is also scheduled to hold talks with Qatar’s prime minister, Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman bin Jassim Al Thani, behind closed doors at the White House on Monday, November 9, keeping the Qatar mediation channel active in parallel.

Denuclearization and the Ukraine Thread

The second named subject for Shenzhen is denuclearization, and here the history is longer. Trump has spoken for years about the need for a new arms-control arrangement that includes China, whose nuclear arsenal has grown substantially, rather than the bilateral framework that governed the United States and Russia during the Cold War. A three-way conversation is the only format in which that ambition can even be attempted, and the fact that denuclearization was the first subject Trump named on Sunday suggests it remains a genuine objective, not just a talking point attached to the Iran discussion.

The Ukraine thread runs through the same meeting. The Wall Street Journal’s reporting that Putin wants the trilateral format used to discuss an end to the war in Ukraine means that the Shenzhen conversation, if it happens, could range across both of the wars that have defined the Trump administration’s foreign policy. Trump told 60 Minutes that he believes a deal on Ukraine is very close, and that it would leave Ukraine in a “little bit different shape,” without explaining what that means in practice. The vagueness is important: it leaves open whether he is talking about territorial adjustments, security arrangements, or something else entirely, and it means the claim will be tested against whatever emerges from the diplomacy in the coming weeks.

There is also a separate diplomatic track running in the same direction. Trilateral talks involving the United States, Ukraine, and Russia are scheduled for Tuesday and Wednesday, November 10 and 11, in Abu Dhabi, and foreign ministers of the Group of Seven are meeting in Paris on Monday and Tuesday, November 9 and 10, with Ukraine at the top of their agenda. Those meetings will give Washington’s allies their first chance to assess whether the midterm elections — in which Democrats won control of both chambers of Congress — have changed the administration’s approach. Diplomats have signaled that the Democrats’ gains could narrow the White House’s room for maneuver, while warning against expecting a return to traditional multilateralism while foreign policy remains very much under Trump’s control. The Shenzhen meeting would come a week after those conversations, and its outcome will be read against them.

What to Watch Before Shenzhen

The first thing to watch is confirmation. Neither Beijing nor Moscow has yet confirmed that a trilateral meeting will take place, and the history of summit diplomacy is full of meetings that were predicted by one leader and quietly dropped before they happened. Watch for statements from the Chinese foreign ministry and the Kremlin in the coming days, and for whether the meeting is described as trilateral or as separate bilateral meetings held on the margins of the summit. The distinction matters: a true three-way session would be a first, while a series of one-on-one meetings would be routine summit business.

The second thing to watch is the agenda as it firms up. Trump named denuclearization and the Iran war, and the Ukraine war is in play through Putin’s reported pitch. But summits have a way of adding subjects, and the leaders’ bilateral concerns — trade, technology, regional security — will compete for time. The balance between the three wars-and-weapons subjects and the rest of the agenda will tell observers how seriously each capital is taking the trilateral format.

The third thing to watch is the domestic context in Washington. Trump is returning to a capital where Democrats have just won both chambers of Congress in the midterm elections, and where the new Congress does not take office until January. His freedom to make foreign-policy commitments in the meantime is considerable, but the political backdrop has changed, and every diplomatic move will now be read through the lens of a divided government to come.

For now, the facts are these: Trump says he will be in Shenzhen on November 18 and 19, and he thinks one of his meetings there will bring together Putin and Xi to talk about denuclearization and ending the war in Iran. The Kremlin said in October that such a meeting is being prepared. China and Russia have been in contact about arrangements. No official confirmation has been issued. The blockade on Iran is in effect, the talks on Tehran’s nuclear program have made no progress according to the secretary of state, and the president says he is not looking to escalate. Whether the pieces come together in Shenzhen is the story of the next ten days.

Source: Reuters

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